Posted by Chris Howard
On September 24, 2008, (the week following the Lehman brothers collapse and the takeover of HBOS by Lloyds TSB) UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown addressed the Labour Party Conference:
It falls to this party and to this government, with its
commitment both to fairness and to business, to propose and deliver
what after recent events everyone should now be willing to accept -
that we do all it takes to stabilise the still turbulent financial
markets and then in the months ahead we rebuild the world financial
system around clear principles. And friends the work begins tomorrow.
I ... will meet financial and government leaders in New York to make these proposals:
First, transparency - all transactions need to be transparent and not hidden.
Second, sound banking, a requirement to demonstrate that risks can be managed and priced for bad times as well as good.
Third, responsibility - no member of a bank's board should be able to say they did not understand the risks they were running and walk away from them.
Fourth,
integrity - removing conflicts of interest so that bonuses should not
be based on short term speculative deals but on hard work, effort and
enterprise.
And
fifth, global standards and supervision because the flows of capital
are global, then supervision can no longer just be national but has to
be global.
And if we make these changes I believe London will retain its rightful place as the financial centre of the world.
A month later, the markets are still in a state of turmoil (although fortunately up — at least yesterday). I was in London that prior week, speaking at a conference and meeting with our financial services clients. Despite the Nero-esque festivities that broke out among ex-Lehmanites on Canary Wharf, the mood was grim overall. The larger party is over. Brown's comments are similar to those made in the US and by leaders of the other G8 nations: promises of increased regulatory oversight, transparency of transactions and operations, limits on executive pay, and increased safety for the average citizen who is a homeowner, not a professional investor.
Jack and I had a bit of a back and forth in this blog a few weeks ago concerning the role of IT in the financial crisis. Let's start to think about IT's role in a reformed financial system. To achieve the goals outlined by Mr. Brown and others, IT must be engaged, although the primary solutions are in the realm of corporate governance and fiduciary responsibility.
transparency
Transparency of transactions and operations requires the ability to inspect and report on the state of a system on demand. At a minimum, this requires effective reporting mechanisms, but those mechanisms must be tuned to find the correct information without disrupting runtime operations. Inspecting static data (e.g., in a warehouse) is not sufficient.That will simply tell you what has happened, and not what is happening. Processes and state must be examined in realtime. Furthermore, good data management is required to ensure that data is correct and meaningful within a business context. Data management will also tackle issues of disparate data sources and discoverability.The inability to get to the right data quickly will inhibit transparency.
sound banking and responsibility
Sound banking implies risk management in both the product and technical domains. As Jack and I discussed, a core problem leading to the crisis was the complexity of financial instruments (especially collateralized debt obligations or CDOs). That complexity was facilitated by the underlying technology that allowed sophisticated decomposition and recombination of product components. Very Enron-like, as I told my audience in London. Sound risk management ensures that design of products provides maximum return with minimized volatility. In other words, abstraction is OK, but at some point the highly virtual product offerings must be tied to the real world and well-understood. Technology will always be able to support whatever concoctions are conjured by crafty minds. The trick is to govern that process from within the line of business and make the CEO ultimately responsible.
integrity
The solution is to embed chips in executives to track their movements. Not. Clearly, technology cannot solve every problem that led to the financial crisis. Technology can serve to mechanize greed and obfuscate transactions (perhaps unintentionally), but it cannot necessarily stop fast and loose business practices. To the extent that transparency can be achieved, then lack of integrity should be traceable.
global standards and supervision
If we've learned anything from the past several months, it is that Friedman was right. The World is Flat. Watching the markets consists of shifting focus from the closing bell in NYC to the opening markets in Asia. No longer mostly isolated entities, world economies are joined in a chain or whip, with aggressive movements in one direction or the other being amplified in waves (like Winslow Homer's painting "Snap the Whip"). Perhaps we've just watched Iceland lose grip and fall on it's face.The markets are just one indicator of significant root causes. I remember sitting at a cafe outside Liverpool Street Station a year ago pondering the Gherkin with a senior architect from a bank in The City. That was the week that North Fork imploded, suffering from exposure to bad mortgage debt. Before that, and for a few months afterward, many European leaders reassured their citizens that they were protected from the sliding US economy and not to worry. Boy were they wrong. Acknowledging global interconnectedness (not limited to financial services) requires us to solve transparency, reporting, risk management, and traceability across political and technical boundaries. Design of products, supporting technologies and integration dependencies must be a holistic effort. This requires greater standardization and overarching governance.
These recommendations are easy enough to make in front of a friendly audience, as was the case with Mr. Brown. The enactment and global institution of these ideas will take years and careful negotiation. SOX was just a warm-up exercise. Increased regulatory pressure will likely dominate enterprise system design and refactoring for the next decade. Hopefully we can still get other things done ;-)
London
and New York are in a wrestling match to become the center of the global financial universe. As they are wrestling, the rest of the world is watching in
stunned disbelief because they are both off the mat and still fighting. Dubai and Hong Kong are featured in the next round.