It’s been a while since I blogged – mostly due to the Catalyst conference and workload. But in an attempt to get back in the swing of things, I’ll be posting a series of short “What I learned during my blogging hiatus” pieces that maybe be thought provoking, and an indication of what is on my mind….
#1: and the winner is….
Apple has the mobility market. a choke point similar to Windows on the desktop in the 80s-90s (to present).
It has become clear, through conversations and interactions:
- Palm lost it; Treo is totally disregarded by even those who have tried it. The only hold-ons are those are enamored of its legacy UI
- Windows/MS is out of the picture entirely. Someone in Redmond was asleep at the switch.
- The G-phone has no traction except for geekdom. A lesson for the new Chrome OS?
- Blackberry is totally running on inertia, and IT support structures – which are evolving rapidly.
- Apple has, in a short time, gathered the kind of head of steam (through apps ( mostly), and an excellent, innovative UI; their lead has monopoly power; watch for more regulatory intervention.
- Nokia, Samsung, etc. Good luck. Edge players, at best. The 4B strong human phone market is large enough it will support many smaller, targeted solutions – but it will be crumbs, and irrelevant to the enterprise..
There is a risk to the iPhone – mainly security and encryption and remote administration. But it is one most organizations are willing to take, especially the senior staff of most of those firms.
It is a reign that will last at least 5-7 years, depending on pricing and further Apple innovation. It is also changing how we interact – even shorter messages, limited typing, more twitter like, and mucho mucho multimedia. …and it will impact the laptop market.
Look around next time you are in a public space (train station, airport, park). The near-majority of folks are on iPhones. Those that aren’t rue the day they can be. And new iPhone apps are exacerbating the demand.