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August 10, 2009

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Alan Walsh

Are your conclusions entirely based on personal observations of people in public places? It would seem so, because the publicly available reports concerning actual market share do not support your conclusions: http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2329913,00.asp.

By all accounts RIM continues to grow its dominant position over Apple in both the US and the global market.

I think it's dangerous to predict a 5-7 "reign" for anyone -- but especially when considering that reign has not yet even begun.

Jack Santos

Alan makes a fair criticism. And there may still be some surprises in store, no doubt. Yes, my blog comments tend to be based on anecdotal and personal observations - which eventually lead to hard research at Burton Group. My observations were entirely just that: observations and conversations; random, predominantly business folks, usually at a conference or on a plane. It doesn’t sound like we disagree on my conclusions for MS, Google, Palm or the others. As you (and the market stats) point out, there is still a strong presence of Blackberries (I have 5 old ones in a drawer myself). The real question is the trend, effects of pricing (which will change as iPhone pricing challenges the entry level, and cheaper bandwidth pricing comes online), and the latent affects of a 3rd party software infrastructure...my guess is that will tell a different story. And, sad to say, I couldn’t find one current blackberry user (out of dozens) that wasn't itching for their plan to end....or their company to change policy. But that could be "CNG" effects (Cool New Gadget) by status hungry road warriors.

Thanks, Alan!

True Religion Outlet

Times and Roku is what thye ARE NOT doing by keeping old business models while inventing new ones. Sort of one hand not knowing what the other is doing. Roku rolls out new platforms but hasn't tackled the key question of selling more boxes. You need one for each TV. Why not discount multiple orders for people with more than one TV? Financial Times wants to make online access free or pay depending upon the frequency of use, but it continues to charge customers TWO fees if the customer subscribes to print AND wants an subscription online as well. Do the people in office A ever talk to the people in office B

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